A celebrity coin pump that didn’t fool the tool
An apparently large coin order resolved into scattered retail fills on closer inspection.
1 min read
Live signals
Explore trades flagged by Picks AI across Polymarket and Kalshi.
A score measures the trade’s signal pattern. The verdict is a separate assessment.
Browse the research
Trade breakdowns, wallet context, and guides to reading the evidence.
Options flow hints at a rate-cut repricing
Options desks picked up a wave of short-dated calls tied to the next Fed decision, concentrated in a single hour around a quiet news…
1 min read
Heavy wallets lean short on the CPI print
Three of the four wallets that piled into No positions last cycle have quietly added fresh size ahead of tomorrow’s CPI release. Two bought…
1 min read
Two known wallets test the same earnings thesis
Two wallets with strong prior earnings records bought the same out-of-the-money call strike hours apart, both ahead of an upcoming report. Neither has touched…
1 min read
Synchronous buys across five accounts, one exchange
Five accounts placed near-identical buys within the same three-second window on a single exchange. The shared timing and uniform sizing look coordinated on the…
1 min read
A fresh wallet mirrors the March whale setup
A wallet created three weeks ago has begun stacking the same side of a market that the March whale rode for its biggest win.…
1 min read
An index fund’s odd 11th-hour ballot activity
A registered index fund placed a cluster of ballot-market orders shortly after the close, an hour most funds are quiet. The size was small…
1 min read
Prediction markets, explained.
Start with a step-by-step introduction to Kalshi and prediction market trading. Then explore how Picks AI puts the wallet, the position, and the market in context.
Our methodology brings five evidence lenses together. Learn how to read a signal score, a verdict, and an entry price.