A celebrity coin pump that didn’t fool the tool
An apparently large coin order resolved into scattered retail fills on closer inspection.
1 min read
Live signals
Explore trades flagged by Picks AI across Polymarket and Kalshi.
A score measures the trade’s signal pattern. The verdict is a separate assessment.
Browse the research
Trade breakdowns, wallet context, and guides to reading the evidence.
A whale with a perfect record doubles down
The wallet with the longest unbroken win streak on the platform just more than doubled its position in a market it has never been…
1 min read
Three accounts stacking Yes on a court ruling
Three accounts with overlapping funding histories stacked Yes in the hours before a closely-watched court ruling. Their combined size dwarfs the day’s usual volume…
1 min read
The accumulation that never shows on the tape
A single wallet has been accumulating a position in small, irregular increments for three weeks, never large enough to register as a single fill.…
1 min read
An insider-adjacent fund sizes into a merger vote
A fund with a history of trading around corporate events took a large position in a merger-vote market the week before the shareholder meeting.…
1 min read
A hedge fund quietly hedging a Senate runoff
A fund with a paper trail of politically-informed trades placed a large, well-timed hedge on a Senate runoff days before the race tightened in…
1 min read
The 2 a.m. Kalshi ladder that broke the pattern
A ladder of orders hit a sleepy Kalshi market just after 2 a.m., filling a series of adjacent prices in a sequence no retail…
1 min read
Prediction markets, explained.
Start with a step-by-step introduction to Kalshi and prediction market trading. Then explore how Picks AI puts the wallet, the position, and the market in context.
Our methodology brings five evidence lenses together. Learn how to read a signal score, a verdict, and an entry price.