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Read how the evidence led to this verdict.
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How to read a score in ten seconds
The score is the first thing you see on a signal, and the easiest thing to misunderstand. It’s a 0–100 confidence read — not a prediction of whether…
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The anatomy of a whale
“Whale” gets thrown around so loosely on Polymarket and Kalshi that it’s stopped meaning much. In our scoring, wallet pedigree is one of the five layers — and…
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What ‘preceded news’ actually means
One of the highest-signal flags in the feed is “preceded news.” It means a trade landed in the minutes or hours before a public announcement that moved the…