Research
Short reads on the trades, markets, and wallets behind the feed.
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The 2 a.m. Kalshi ladder that broke the pattern
A ladder of orders hit a sleepy Kalshi market just after 2 a.m., filling a series of adjacent prices in a sequence no retail trader builds. The fills…
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A hedge fund quietly hedging a Senate runoff
A fund with a paper trail of politically-informed trades placed a large, well-timed hedge on a Senate runoff days before the race tightened in the polls. Its entry…
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An insider-adjacent fund sizes into a merger vote
A fund with a history of trading around corporate events took a large position in a merger-vote market the week before the shareholder meeting. The size is far…
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The accumulation that never shows on the tape
A single wallet has been accumulating a position in small, irregular increments for three weeks, never large enough to register as a single fill. Net, it has quietly…
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Three accounts stacking Yes on a court ruling
Three accounts with overlapping funding histories stacked Yes in the hours before a closely-watched court ruling. Their combined size dwarfs the day’s usual volume in that market.Ahead of…
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A whale with a perfect record doubles down
The wallet with the longest unbroken win streak on the platform just more than doubled its position in a market it has never been wrong on. The new…