Picks AI follows prediction-market trades on Polymarket and Kalshi, then puts the wallet, the market, and the timing in context. See what was flagged and why it matters before you form your own view.
Observable trades. Evidence you can check. No forecast of what happens next.
Signal example
Checked
Economics Polymarket
90
signal score
out of 100
Verdict
Monitor
Keep watching for more evidence.
Wallet ratehikes
Bought $19K of No at 17.0%
“No” on “no change” is a bet that rates will change. The 17.0% is the market entry price for that side; the 90 measures the trade’s signal pattern.
Details may change in the live product.
One trade is a data point. The useful read connects who traded, what they bought, when they moved, and what might cut against the signal.
Every signal brings five evidence lenses together. A large position alone can be noise. Its size means more when you can compare it with the wallet’s history, the market, and the moment it landed.
What has this wallet done before?
Is the amount unusual for this wallet or market?
When did the trade arrive, and what changed around it?
Was there relevant news near the trade?
Does the wallet have a record in this topic?
Read them together, but don’t confuse them.
90/100
How strongly the observed trade matches the signal criteria. It is not a probability of winning.
Monitor
A separate assessment of what deserves attention next. You cannot infer it from a score range.
17.0%
The market price of the selected outcome when the wallet bought in, not a Picks AI confidence score.
Values above refer to the dated example shown at the top of this page.
New reads on the trades, markets, and wallets behind the feed.
An apparently large coin order resolved into scattered retail fills on closer inspection.
A tariff headline drew attention, but the order book showed little follow-through.
A depth-chart update sparked small bets, but no concentrated position emerged.